Resolution integrity, not accuracy

When the settlement is contested, the money is already on the table.

Existing trackers score whether the crowd was right. This one scores whether the settlement was fought. Over the data window, $304.6M of traded volume passed through Polymarket resolutions that went to dispute before they settled. By simple count, disputes look rare and falling. Weighted by the money at stake, they do not fall at all.

Contested volume
$304.6M
8.4% of UMA-resolved traded volume
Count dispute rate
1.93 to 0.18%
Falls as scaffold markets dilute it
Volume-weighted rate
2.8 to 22.5%
Stays high. Disputes hit the big markets
Deepest fight
5 rounds
Zelenskyy suit, $14.69M traded

Signature series

Two rates, opposite stories

Contested dollars per month against the raw count rate. As the market count explodes, the count rate falls while the money contested climbs.

Disputed volume, $M (left) Count dispute rate, % (right)
02550751000.00.51.01.52.0$M%Mar '25Apr '25May '25Jun '25Jul '25Aug '25Sep '25Oct '25Nov '25Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26

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